Epistemic Status: Obviously highly speculative. I have no inside information. Opinions lightly held.
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When Does Competition Lead To Recognizable Values
Author’s Note: Transcript of my talk at the Post-AGI workshop in San Diego on December 3rd, 2025. This is taken from the cross-posted version on lesswrong. You can find the video of the talk here. I’m cross-posting this to have a long-term copy hosted on my personal blog. Thanks to...
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AI Monotheism vs AI Polytheism
Epistemic note: This is the beginning of a planned series of posts trying to think about what a highly multi-polar post-AGI world would look like and to what extent humanity or human values could survive in such a world depending on our degree of alignment success. This is all highly...
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Two Mechanisms of Decadence
Epistemic status: Obviously speculative sociology. Probably pretty obvious to some but I’m just trying to crystallize these ideas from my mind onto paper.
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Intellectual Progress in 2025
It is now 2026 and we are half way through the decade of the 2020s. If we think back to the halcyon days of January 2020 certainly a lot has happened, especially in AI1. The first half of the decade has essentially been the discovery and then incredible exploitation of...
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